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Wednesday, May 6, 2026

No, AI gained’t destroy software program growth jobs



It’s paradoxical

You’ll be able to inform all of them in regards to the Jevons paradox — the commentary that as one thing turns into extra environment friendly, demand for that extra environment friendly factor will increase slightly than decreases. Within the mid-Nineteenth century, William Jevons observed that the usage of coal turned extra environment friendly. People found out the best way to get extra warmth and vitality out of much less and fewer coal. The frequent perception was that, as a result of much less coal was wanted for a similar quantity of vitality or warmth, there can be much less demand for coal consequently. Everybody was involved that coal miners would lose their jobs. However Jevons observed that demand for coal truly went up, because the extra environment friendly processes led to extra widespread makes use of for coal.

The identical factor occurred half a century earlier with the introduction of the automated loom. Regardless of fears that the ability loom would destroy jobs for weavers, it made the manufacturing of clothes and different textile merchandise cheaper, growing demand for such merchandise and elevated employment within the textile trade.

This phenomenon might be seen time and again. Spinning jennies, vehicles, computer systems, robotic manufacturing, tractors, stitching machines, and numerous different innovations all precipitated widespread fears of job loss, however the fears had been by no means actually realized. When an organization can all of a sudden produce 10 instances extra with the folks they’ve, they’ve at all times needed to supply 10 instances extra, not reduce their workforce by 90%. But right here we’re, with everybody positive that AI goes to place us all out of labor. 

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